After the general shock of the results of the Brexit referendum two and a half years ago, long and heavy negotiations for political divorce between the two countries began. The options were – an agreement for a peaceful and maximally painless contract for both parties or an uncompromising Brexit in a difficult and unpredictable way.
British Prime Minister Theresa May has struggled with the tough task of negotiating a maximum contract for his country, despite the embarrassing stance in the talks. Pressed by the time, the EU and the UK came to an agreement, but it was based on many and painful compromises. The British Parliament rejected the heavy deal of the European Union’s exit of the Kingdom and the situation became even more unpredictable and chaotic.
Two and a half years after the referendum and two months before Britain’s final and voluntary exit from the European Union, Brexit seems to be an ever greater mistake in the eyes of the British. Even talks were made to cancel the referendum, to hold a new one and to cancel Brexit, even without a referendum. Forecasts to the British economy are also not flourishing. Many large companies want to move offices in the EU to avoid the future EU border, and the British pound continues to fall due to an uncertain future. Irish people from the north and south are on the way to being separated from a border, there will be problems with the Gibraltar economy surrounded by Spain. The Scots are also not happy with leaving the EU after convincingly voted to stay. It is possible to initiate a new referendum on the UK exit of Scotland, this time the results are expected to be very different.
The European Union, on the other hand, is much more confident in the whole situation than in the immediate aftermath of the Brexit referendum. In 2016, the EU struggled with the effects of the global economic crisis, the bankruptcy of Greece and the Middle East migratory flow. Today, the EU is in an economic rhythm, thinking of future enlargement, continuing integration, and even establishing a common army. Much of these ideas were stopped by the UK, which was the most conservative part of the Union. Anti-European rhetoric has reached an extremely high level before, during, and after the Breckitt referendum, but to date things are different. Ideas for EU secession have faded in Europe and statistics show stronger support for United Europe than citizens of the 27 member states.
The British Parliament has said its harsh word and decided to bet on a chaotic Brexit, described as the worst of all options, especially for the UK and the citizens of the country. Commenting on the vote, French President Emmanuel Macron said the UK would be the biggest loser if it left the European Union without a deal:
“I will tell you how I see things after the vote for Brexit, the first option: the British will not make a deal and say they can not reach a deal, which scares everyone, the first losers of this development will be the Britains themselves. government to tell us that it will try again to improve what it wants to get from the Europeans and to vote again. One or two points can be improved, but I do not believe that much, because we have done our best to achieve We will not give up defending interests sons of Europeans to solve the domestic problems of the British. “
The famous conservatism and uncompromising British policy in this case will play a bad joke on Britain and its people. In their desire to gain maximum comfort after their exit from the EU, British politicians have crossed the boundaries of rationalism. It has come to a situation where they both want to get out of the EU and want to preserve all their rights and privileges they have had as a member. This, of course, is impossible to happen because it would lead to a precedent in Europe’s policy.
The United Kingdom is also not in a position to set such conditions as an initiator of the Brexit. However, they have done so, and this has made European politicians annoyed and they have steadily tightened their tone and were clear that compromises will not be made. At best, Britain could expect future relations with the EU, similar to those with Norway and Switzerland, but not retaining its current membership prerogatives.
Now, after the refusal of the deal by the parliament, it is impossible. Britain is about to confirm its big mistake and come out of United Europe with a bang and a crash. Brexit became from a pragmatic divorce between northern Europeans in a melodramatic fight in Italian style. Europe will do well without the UK, but will Britain will be well without Europe or will it seek help across the ocean?